![]() Let us take the American roulette double-zero wheels and observe (meaning write down) thousands of decisions. Are they an indication of a true bias? Probably not. Indeed, if you look at a scoreboard of the last 20 spins you will see that some numbers repeat themselves. If you were to take 37 or 38 as the number of spins you recorded, finding an actual biased wheel using such a small sample would be impossible. If you take a look at the wheels, you have 37 or 38 possible pockets for the ball to land in. ![]() As the story of my wife and me in Chapter 8 showed, there are (were) wheels out there that can be termed “biased.” These wheels for whatever reason (inconsistent depth of pockets, uneven rims, etc.) will allow an astute player to bet certain numbers which are coming up with a frequency that defies their probability.
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